Interest Rates

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Making Sense of Interest Rates and the Markets

Every Federal Reserve meeting attracts headlines.

"Will rates go up?"
"Will they finally come down?"
"What does this mean for my investments?"

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Forecasts surrounding AI remain deeply divided. Some analysts believe AI could meaningfully increase productivity and global GDP over time. Goldman Sachs Research, for example, estimated that generative AI could contribute a 7% increase in global GDP through productivity gains.[3] Others argue the transition could intensify inequality and destabilize labor markets.[4]

With developments and headlines shifting daily, clarity becomes essential. This month’s blog looks beyond the headlines to focus on how the war is showing up in markets today. The aim is to understand how these developments are being reflected in market behavior, how that differs across geographies, and how taking a behavioral lens can help stay focused in a shifting environment.

Market Volatility

In recent weeks, the escalation of conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran has introduced a renewed sense of uncertainty into global markets. What began on February 28th, 2026, as a series of targeted strikes has since developed into a broader regional confrontation, with retaliatory attacks extending across the Middle East and raising questions about wider economic implications.

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